Suspicious Trade Detected in US Midterm Prediction Market as $200,000 Bet Lands Just Before Poll Release

A **roughly $200,000 bet** on Pete Ricketts winning was detected on Polymarket, a prediction market tied to the U.S. midterm elections, one hour before a poll was released. The user reportedly made a **$77,000 profit** on the Ricketts bet and repeated the pattern in Michigan's Senate race with a **roughly $622,600 bet** on Abdul El-Sayed to win. Researchers said the repeated **large bets** placed just before poll releases are fueling suspicions of nonpublic information use, while Brett Goldstein said **further investigation is needed**.